.
In
Colorado, likely voters break 42% for Trump, 41% for Clinton, 13% for
Libertarian Gary Johnson and 3% for Green Party candidate Jill Stein.
Pennsylvania's likely voters split 45% for Clinton, 44% for Trump, 6%
for Johnson and 3% for Stein. Those divides are well within each poll's
3.5-point margin of sampling error.
Clinton, Trump poised for historic debate battle
The
new results in two battleground states underscore the closeness of the
race and come as the candidates prepare to square off Monday night in
their high-stakes first debate at Long Island's Hofstra University.
In both states, sharp divisions among
whites by education are evident, with white college graduates choosing
Clinton over Trump by 11 points in Pennsylvania and 16 points in
Colorado, while whites who do not hold four-year degrees break in
Trump's favor by 19 points in Pennsylvania and 22 points in Colorado.
Read full Colorado results
In
Colorado, that education gap is a bigger divide than gender or age, and
is even larger than the racial gap in the state. Pennsylvania's likely
voters are more divided than Colorado's along gender and racial lines.
Johnson's appeal among younger voters appears to be working to Clinton's
detriment in both states. While Trump's numbers are significantly lower
among voters under 45 than among older voters, Clinton's are roughly
the same across age groups, while Johnson's support multiplies among
younger voters.
Clinton fares
better in two-way matchups in both states, topping Trump 50% to 47%
among likely voters in Pennsylvania and 49% to 47% in Colorado. Though
both results are within the polls' margin of sampling error, the finding
suggests she could fare better in each state if third party candidate
support dipped.
The two polls come
alongside tight national polls and neck-and-neck poll results in several
other key battleground states including Ohio, Florida, Nevada and North
Carolina.
In
both Colorado and Pennsylvania, the economy stands out as far and away
the top voter concern. About half of registered voters in each state,
and a similar share of likely voters, call the economy most important
out of a list also including terrorism, illegal immigration and foreign
policy. And when asked which candidate would better handle the economy,
Trump comes out on top in both states, though within each poll's margin
of error.
Clinton holds broad advantages for
handling foreign policy in both states, and she tops Trump by 8 points
on handling immigration in Colorado, a state where a Pew Research Center
analysis recently estimated that about a quarter of the state's sizable
Latino population is foreign born. In Pennsylvania, the two candidates
run about even on that issue. And in the wake of terror attacks in New
York and New Jersey, voters in both states are about evenly split on who
would better handle terrorism.
Read full Pennsylvania results
The
poll suggests Clinton has made an effective case that Trump does not
have the temperament to be president -- she is viewed as better suited
for the presidency by a nearly two-to-one margin in each state on that
score -- and she holds smaller advantages as the better candidate to be
commander-in-chief. But Clinton continues to lag behind Trump when
voters are asked which of the two is more honest and trustworthy.
Trump's contention
that Clinton lacks the stamina for the job splits voters in Colorado,
48% see him as having the better stamina, 45% choose Clinton. In
Pennsylvania, Trump holds a larger advantage on that, 50% to 45%.
Democrats
have a narrow edge in the race for Pennsylvania's U.S. Senate seat,
with Katie McGinty topping incumbent Pat Toomey 49% to 46% among likely
voters, just inside the poll's margin of error, and a broad lead in
Colorado's Senate contest, with incumbent Michael Bennet up 53% to 43%
over Republican challenger Darryl Glenn.
The Polls in Colorado and Pennsylvania were conducted by telephone
Sept. 20-25. The Colorado poll included interviews with 1,010 adult
residents of the state, including 784 who are likely to vote in
November. In Pennsylvania, interviews were conducted with 1,032 adult
residents of the state, including 771 likely voters. Results for likely
voters have a margin of sampling error of plus or minus 3.5 percentage
points in each state.
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